A.M. Best Special Report

Survey Results Underscore Insurer Pessimism Over Possibility of Interest Rate Hike

Life/Annuity carriers hold the rosier view by far

OLDWICK, N.J., April 3, 2015—Insurers have become increasingly pessimistic about the possibility of a material change in interest rates this year, according to the results from a recently published A.M. Best industry survey.

The special report titled, “A.M. Best Winter 2014-2015 Insurance Industry Survey,” revealed that 67% of respondents believe that interest rates will remain below 2.25% by the end of 2015, compared with 11% of respondents who shared the same sentiment during the summer survey. Life insurers had the most optimistic view of interest rates, with just 22% of this segment’s respondents feeling as though rates would finish the year below 2.00%.

By comparison, 49% of property/casualty companies that responded shared the same belief; 45% of health insurers felt the same way. Other highlights from the results of A.M. Best’s third quarterly survey include:

  • While total bond investments remained relatively stable for the life/annuity sector, the bond portfolio composition has changed with more direct movement into NAIC 2 rated holdings in an effort to gain yield without heading too far down the credit spectrum.
  • Emerging market exposure is gaining more importance in well-diversified portfolios given its growing role in the global economy, with this segment expected to eclipse 50% of global GDP before 2020.
  • Insurers remain interested in fixed-income or equity-type exposures such as private equity and hedge funds, as opposed to more “real” asset exposures like real estate or infrastructure.
While total bond investments remained relatively stable for the life/annuity sector, the bond portfolio composition has changed

For a full copy of this special report, please visit here .

 

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