Advisors, consumers did not see COVID-19 crash comingThe Sixth Annual Greenwald & Associates & CANNEX Guaranteed Lifetime Income Study reveals that few clients & fewer advisors saw market decline as very likely in 2020. What is the expected impact of SECURE Act on annuity market?
WASHINGTON, June 9, 2020 /PRNewswire/ — Despite growing attention to the coronavirus in the run up to the March stock market crash, the sixth annual Guaranteed Lifetime Income Study (GLIS) by Greenwald & Associates and CANNEX finds that few clients or advisors believed a market downturn was very likely in 2020. Similar to findings from previous periods of market volatility, the study shows higher client interest in guaranteed lifetime income compared to 2019.
These are among the Top 10 Findings of the GLIS surveys of 1,000 Americans between the ages of 55 and 75, with at least $100,000 in investable assets, and 302 financial advisors with at least $15 million in assets under management. The research, fielded mid-February in the days before the market crash, provides comprehensive insights into client and advisor perceptions of guaranteed lifetime income products and their role in the retirement planning process.
The study shows 11% of clients considered a market downturn was very or extremely likely in 2020, although 29% considered a downturn at least somewhat likely. A third (35%) of surveyed clients considered a downturn very or extremely likely within 5 years. Surprisingly, even fewer advisors were anticipating a downturn in 2020, with only 6% saying it was very or extremely likely and 17% at least somewhat likely. The majority of advisors considered a market downturn very or extremely likely (60%) within five years.
On The Heels Of A 10 Year Bull Market
“Following a 10-year bull market, the research shows clients largely optimistic about the outlook for the market in the days before the collapse and confident they would be able to weather a downturn,” said study director, Doug Kincaid of Greenwald & Associates. “Although it will take some time to evaluate the impact of the crisis on retirement plans, the research findings underscore the importance of having a solid retirement planning process that takes into account unforeseen events.”
Over the last six years, GLIS studies have shown that guaranteed lifetime income generally becomes more attractive during market downturns and volatility. This year is no different. There was increased interest in guaranteed lifetime income in 2020 with 71% of clients stating it was a highly valuable addition to Social Security, up from 67% a year ago.
“A black swan event, COVID-19, has upended lives, the economy, and financial markets in ways that are likely to drive demand for guaranteed lifetime income in retirement,” said Tamiko Toland, head of Annuity Research at CANNEX. “The research demonstrates the critical role advisors play in communicating the value of these products in retirement plans, but also that they generally underestimate clients’ interest in guaranteed lifetime income.”
In fact, only 14% of advisors believe their average client is highly interested in guaranteed lifetime income, while 42% of consumers say they are highly interested or already own a GLI product. Three in five clients say advisors have a responsibility to present guaranteed lifetime income products as part of a retirement income strategy. Eight in ten believe advisors should present two or three options for producing income in retirement.
The research also sheds light on advisor perceptions of the SECURE Act. Three in ten advisors believe the increased availability of annuities in 401(k) plans will increase the number of annuities they sell and 35% believe it will increase client receptivity to annuities. Importantly, it highlights consumers’ and advisors’ belief that estimates of monthly retirement income, mandated by the Act, are more helpful for retirement planning than savings goals or estimates of retirement expenses.
Excerpts From The 2020 Guaranteed Life Income Study:
Consumers and advisors missed the mark around the likelihood of a market downturn in 2020
On the eve of the market’s falling in late February, just 11% of consumers and—even more surprisingly—6% of advisors thought it highly likely there would be a major downturn in 2020. These misestimations highlight how difficult black swan market events are to predict, even for professionals, and that many common solutions for risk protection, such as diversification, can be insufficient on their own.
Guaranteed lifetime income appeal remains high in varied market conditions
Consistent with previous periods of market volatility, consumers see a high value in guaranteed lifetime income. Up from 67% in 2019, 71% of consumers say guaranteed lifetime income in addition to Social Security is highly valuable. Six in ten advisors report higher client interest in annuities with guaranteed lifetime income during previous market downturns, and 42% say the same about low interest rates. Given the events in 2020, it seems likely that consumer demand for guaranteed lifetime income will only increase heading into 2021.
Advisors see the SECURE Act as a positive context for annuities
While the SECURE Act does not have a direct impact on advisor annuity sales, 35% of advisors believe it will increase client receptivity to annuities and very few foresee a decrease in receptivity. The SECURE Act requiring plan sponsors to provide an estimate of monthly income in retirement presents advisors with an opportunity to convert these estimates into reality with the purchase of an annuity.
Additional supporting charts and data on the 2020 Guaranteed Lifetime Income Study are available here.
About Greenwald & Associates
Greenwald & Associates is a market research firm that specializes in subjects related to health and wealth. Greenwald & Associates conducts both custom proprietary work as well as thought-leadership public release studies, such as the Guaranteed Lifetime Income Study and the Retirement Confidence Survey. Founded in 1985, Greenwald & Associates has conducted research for well over 100 of the nation’s largest financial services companies. For more information on the firm, visit www.greenwaldresearch.com.
CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd. supports the exchange of pricing information for annuity and bank products in North America. The firm provides financial institutions with the ability to evaluate and compare various guarantees associated with retirement savings and retirement income products. In the U.S. this includes the evaluation of annuity guarantees (Income Annuities, Variable Annuities, Indexed Annuities, and Fixed Rate Annuities) and consulting services supporting the optimization and allocation of retirement income portfolios. For more information about CANNEX, visit www.cannex.com.